Enter your activity time estimates and calculate project probabilities.
| Activity | Optimistic | Most Likely | Pessimistic | Expected Time | Std. Deviation | Variance | Action |
|---|
Total Expected Duration:
0.000
Total Variance:
0.000
Total Standard Deviation:
0.000
Sum of Expected Time for all activities on the critical path.
Square root of the sum of Variance on the critical path.
The date you want to check the probability against.
N/A
0.00%
This is the chance the project will finish *on or before* the target time.
⚠️ **Note on Probability:** This calculator uses the standard JavaScript `jStat` library for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) to provide a precise probability estimate based on the calculated Z-score. The table above serves as a **manual reference** derived from standard statistical data.